Why Scott Walker May Lose In Wisconsin

Governor Scott Walker is involved in a recall effort in Wisconsin and I always thought that it would be impossible for him to lose the election.
However, here in Nevada, I have been having debates with friends of mine, who are also liberal.
The lie going around today is that the Koch brothers have put in $20,000,000 into Walkers campaign and that unions have put very little money into the race.
Now these guys are college educated, are teachers and middle class.  If these guys believe these lies, then what are the college educated or non- educated thinking in Wisconsin, where it counts most?
Why are these people being suckered into the lies that the left have put out?  And how about those people who are not educated?  Are they believing the lies the left has put out?
In the end, i think Walker will win 70 or 71 out of 72 counties in Wisconsin, either by a little bit or a lot.  The only Counties I see Walker losing is Dane County, which is the capital of Wisconsin and maybe Shawano County, which has an Indian reservation on it.
So, if the majority of Wisconsin voters are poltically stupid as my friends are, then Walker may be in trouble.