Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Liberal Media Bias: False Polls

The newspapers in Wisconsin are trumpeting a new poll that shows that President Obama all of a sudden has a big lead over Mitt Romney and that int he senate race ultra liberal gay Democrat House Rep. Tammy Baldwin is way ahead of former Gov., Bush Cabinet member old white guy, Tommy Thompson.  P:olls a few weeks ago showed the race was very tight, actually, a tie.
from jsonline: As both sides flood the state with attention, a new poll by Marquette University Law School gives President Barack Obama an edge here over Republican candidate Mitt Romney in the closing days of a fiercely competitive 2012 election.
Obama leads Romney 51% to 43% in the survey of 1,243 likely voters in Wisconsin, taken last Thursday through Sunday.
In Marquette's last poll two weeks ago, the candidates were virtually tied, with Obama at 49% and Romney at 48%. Obama has led most independent polls this month, but often by slender margins, and the state is one of six or seven now commanding the candidates' overwhelming focus and effort.  http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/obama-leads-romney-in-wisconsin-in-new-marquette-poll-qv7ebn4-176632941.html
However, this is a bogus poll run by a liberal university, Marquette University.
Why is it a fake poll?
From Charlie Sykes:  Another day, another skewed poll that over-samples Democrats and under-weights Republicans.
The only thing consistent about Wednesday's MU Law poll is its penchant for wild, unexplained swings in voter sentiment.
In a year in which the numbers have moved only incrementally, MU would have us believe that Wisconsin voters have experienced massive-- and largely unexplained -- mood swings in the last few weeks.
 That swing also turned a 3 point Obama lead (August) into a 14 point Obama lead (September).
On closer inspection,it turned out that the September MU poll had a +11  Dem sample. Jeff Wagner called that poll "embarrassingly inaccurate and it makes me wonder what's going on at Marquette."
Two weeks later, the whiplash continued:  MU discovered another seismic shift in the electorate, reporting that both races were essentially tied, with Romney down by 1; Thompson up by 1. That poll had a +1 Dem sample -- a 10 pt swing in just a month.
Today, it comes out with a poll  with another big shift: Obama 51; Romney 43. Baldwin 47 Thompson 43.
One GOP insider dismissed the result with a single word: "'absurd." 
MU's new likely voter Party ID is 44 GOP, 49 DEM. That is a +5 Dem sample on election day. Other pollsters are predicting a  +1 Dem turnout based on the enthusiasm of GOP voters and leaners. Those polls also show Romney/Thompson also leading among independents. (Rasmussen has Wisconsin at Romney 49-Obama 49.)  http://www.620wtmj.com/blogs/charliesykes/176653801.html
There is no reason why the fraud pollsters should give a 5% advantage to the Democrats over Republicans when they call people up.
Last year, there was a recall election in which the Republican, Scott walker won by a significant margin.  earlier, in a Supreme Court race, the conservative judge defeated the liberal justice in a fairly close margin.  So, if there was going to be an advantage, it should tilt more towards the GOP or at the very least, a 50-50 split.
So, liberal bias can exist in may forms and conducting misleading and fraudulent polls and then the liberal media laps it up and reports it without stating that the poll was a complete phony.

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