Wednesday, December 25, 2013

Update: My Predictions of 2013 And How I Did


Update, last January 2nd, I made 41 predictions and here are the results:
The past two year, I have made predictions about what will happen in the next year.  My average is about 60% correct, for whatever that is worth, so these are my predictions for the year 2013:
1.  Some time in the year 2013,, John Boehner will lose his Speaker of the House job.  No true (damn)
2.  The U.S. government will shut down at least one time this year because of politics.  True
3.  President Obama will play at least 50 rounds of golf this year.  As of  early November, he has had 39 rounds with more during his vacation to Hawaii  At last 1/2 point
4.  The nation's unemployment rate will be higher at the end of December than it is now. not true, but it is hard to count the number accurately because so any people have stopped looking for jobs.
5.  Congress will pass a gun control law but it will be toothless and hardly affect anybody.  True
6.  The religious objections in ObamaCare will be overturned by the Supreme Court.  Sadly false- at least not now as the case will be heard in 2014
7.  The Green Bay Packers get knocked out the NFL playoffs in the 2nd round.  Very true- knocked off in the 2nd  round by San Fran 49ers
8.  The San Francisco 49'ers win the Super Bowl.  Not true- Baltimore ravens
9.  There will be no NHL season for the 2012-13 season.  Not true, but it was shorten significantly
10. The Wisconsin Badgers football team will not improve this season and will not qualify for a BCS bowl game. The Badgers improved by 1 victory but did not qualify for a BCS bowl  1/2 point
11.  The Wisconsin Badgers, Marquette Warriors and UNLV Runnin Rebels will qualify for the NCAA men's basketball tourney but none will make the Great 8 in the tourney.  All 3 qualified for the tourney but Marquette made it to final 8  1/2 point
12.  The Milwaukee Brewers will lose at least 82 games next season.  True, they lost 88
13.  The Nevada legislators will pass a bill that raises taxes on mining and gaming but Gov. Brian Sandoval will veto it.  The legislators held off on these bills and will allow voters to vote on the issue.  No true
15.  There will be a major wildfire in Clark county this year.  Yes, Mount Charleston
16.  The temp's in Las Vegas will be cooler this year than the past 3 years.  True, except for a week or so in late June, it was cooler and wetter than normal, at least during ing the last three years.  True
17.  The highest official temp. in Las Vegas will be 113 or lower this year.  Not true- it got to 117 on June 30
18.  There will be at least 1 opening in the U.S. Supreme Court this year.  Not true
19.  The Los Angeles Lakers will not make the playoffs this year.  Not true- they squeaked in and got blown out in the first round.
20.  The Oklahoma Thunder win the NBA championship.  Nope, Miami Heat
21.  The Detroit Tigers win the World Series.  Close but Boston won
22.  The UNLV football team will win 4 games this next season by they do not fire the coach.  True- they had 7 wins so far and kept their coach
23.  No sports arena will be approved this year in Las Vegas.  True, while most pieces have fallen the new MGM arena has not been totally approved.
24.  Yucca Mountain will still be barely alive at the end of the year.  True, still ticking- barely
25.  The Desert Express train will not begin any construction this year.  True- it's pretty much dead
26.  Nevada state government will spend about 5% more than last year.  I believe this is true
27.  There will be a mild walkout of CCSD teachers over pay and lack of contract this year.  Not true
28.  Dwight Jones, Superintendent of CCSD will give teachers a 2nd option for health insurance, meaning Teacher's Health Trust will have competition.  Not true, though there was talk about it
29.  The conservative Supreme Court justice in Wisconsin, Pat Roggensack, will win her election. True
30.  1 more state will become a right to work state.  True, Michigan comes to mind
31.  2013 will be another bad year for celebrities, as at least 5 major former or current stars will die this year.  True
32. Eric Holder will still be U.S. Attorney General in December.  Sadly but true
33.  Hillary Clinton will not testify in front of Congress on Benghazi.  Sadly True
34. Matt Kenseth wins the Daytona 500, with his new team.  Nope, came in 37th but won 7 races this year
35.  Dale Earnhardt Jr. makes the Chase but does not win a race in 2013. True and true
36.  Kyle Busch wins the Sprint Cup Chase.  Nope, Jimmie Johnson
37.  Wisconsin NASCAR driver, Paul Menard will make the Chase.  Nope
38.  Danica Patrick gets 1 top ten finish in Sprint and ends up 21th in points or lower. True and true
39.  Tiger Woods wins 3 or fewer golf tournaments in the PGA but none of them are a major.  won several tournaments but didn't win a major 1/2 point
40.  Pawn Stars will turn Olivia's firing into a show or two and she will be invited back on to the show, showing that her firing was a hoax.  False
41.  My friend Jamie, over at the Greenlee Gazette, http://greenleegazette.blogspot.com/  will have at least 1 column criticizing other liberals.  I think so  True
41.  The Las Vegas Badger will have about 200,000 visits this year.  According to sit meter, I am currently 199,100 with 6 more days to go and they have missed several days- true
Well, I made these predictions up in about an half an hour, so they could be totally wrong. 
So, what are your predictions for 2013?
So, out of 41 predictions, I had 21 correct answers, so just a tad over 50%.
I suppose that is ok and better than some other supposed experts.
I will be making predictions within the next week or so, so stayed tuned.

No comments:

Post a Comment