According to Danny Tarkanian, who is challenging Harry Reid, Tarkanian is beating Reid by 8 percentage points. On the news, they reported it as 50-42%. http://www.ktnv.com/global/story.asp?s=10937258
Now, I am not convinced that this poll is totally accurate. It was commissioned by Tarkanian. However, this poll is in line with other polls that shows that Reid cannot get more than about 42% of the vote, if he is lucky.
Brian Sandoval, a Federal judge from Nevada who just resigned, is probably going to run for governor or U.S. senate. Either way, he wins.
So, how can Harry Reid win? Run on his record- well, he might get 10% of the vote. So, how does he win? ACORN is struggling in Nevada as a couple of staffers are being prosecuted by the Democrat Attorney general for voter registration fraud, so they are under the microscope. So, his best bet is with the Tinky Winky thugs of the SEIU. They may get other union thugs to help Reid, but will it be be enough, especially in a right to work state? I doubt it, especially if his son, Rory, runs for governor.