Friday, September 14, 2012

This Is Not Good For Democrats In Nevada

From the LVRJ: Republican U.S. Rep. Joe Heck has a 13-point lead over his Democratic challenger, Nevada Assembly Speaker John Oceguera, according to a new poll released five weeks before early voting begins in Nevada.
Heck leads Oceguera 53 percent to 40 percent, the survey commissioned by the Las Vegas Review-Journal and 8NewsNow shows, thanks to the incumbent's double-digit advantage among seniors, men and white voters.
Heck also leads Oceguera among swing independent voters in the 3rd Congressional District, the state's most competitive because it is evenly divided between registered Republicans and Democrats.
At this point in the campaign, Oceguera's only edge over Heck is with African-Americans (66-17) and Hispanics (52-41), reliable minority voters for Democrats. Oceguera also is close behind Heck among women (49-43). Overall, the poll shows the state lawmaker simply is not as well known or as well liked as Heck.  http://www.lvrj.com/news/advantage-incumbent-heck-leads-oceguera-by-13-points-169743946.html
This is not a good thing for Democrats  because the Democrats have a lead in registered voters in the District.
I think, what these poll numbers show is that Obama may be in big trouble in Nevada and that Dean Heller probably will win  the Senate seat.

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