Friday, September 16, 2011

Jon Ralston- Still Not Very Smart

Jon Ralston, BFF of Harry Reid and the Democratic Party and butt humper to liberals everywhere attempts to put a spin on the Democrat's amazing loss on Tuesday when RINO Mark Amodei defeated Kate Marshall, a brain clone of Harry Reid. Ralston spins so much that if he was dropped from a 20 foot crane, his spinning would get him 3/4 of the way to China in 15 minutes.
From Ralston's article in the employee unfriendly Las Vegas Sun: Democrats were not simply on the sidelines during Treasurer Kate Marshall’s quixotic bid against Amodei, they never came out of the locker room. Oh, they had high hopes that a divided Republican electorate, with multiple GOP candidates running, might split the vote. So the Harry Reid Party — er, the Democratic Party — cleared the field for Marshall. But on July 5, when the state Supreme Court decided the state party committees would nominate one candidate, this race was effectively over.
The Democrats kept their dream alive for a few weeks, with some polling data showing the race potentially close. But a follow-up survey showed the race could not be won, and as the National Republican Congressional Committee started pouring in hundreds of thousands of dollars into anti-Marshall TV ads, the Democrats decided to save their resources for another year. Next year.
As one key Democratic operative told me, “When you know a candidate is 10 points (or more) behind, you can’t justify spending millions of dollars when you know voters just aren’t paying attention and there are sizeable odds are against you.”
So what happened Tuesday is that only the most inveterate voters turned out — Republicans salivating to elect Amodei and Democrats not totally turned off by Marshall’s lame imitation of a Republican. These voters (all 129,603 of them) will turn out again in November 2012. But so will about 750,000 folks who did not vote in this election — and an overwhelming majority of those are Democrats.
There is no analogy between the electorate that turned out Tuesday and the one that will turn out a year from November. None.
Even in Amodei’s district — and the new lines have yet to be drawn — turnout will be dramatically different because it is a presidential year. In 2008, CD2 turnout was 77percent. To replicate the overwhelming turnout advantage the Republicans had Tuesday in a presidential general election, they essentially would have to deport most of the state’s Democrats to California. (Don’t give Sandoval any ideas; I’m still not sure of his immigration positions.)
Democrats also retain a 65,000 voter edge and the Reid, er, Democratic machine, will still far surpass whatever Sandoval & Co. can drum up. Democrats here may well be in grave trouble next year, but it’s way too early too tell.
So let’s flip it for the sake of the GOP’s argument: What if it had been Berkley who had become a senator and her overwhelmingly Democratic district had a special election? The Republicans would barely have put up a fight and Steven Horsford, Dina Titus or Ruben Kihuen would now be a congressman, with some Democrats boasting this augured well for Obama in 2012.
http://www.lasvegassun.com/news/2011/sep/16/no-lessons-emerge-not-so-special-election/
Well, to answer Ralston's question, if Titus, Horsford or Kihuen (whoever he is) ran in an special election last week, I think they would have been beaten and beaten badly. Titus is unethical, Horsford likes to park in handicapped parking places and Kihuen just is not known. And remember, in NYC, just last Tuesday, a conservative GOP candidate defeated an entrenched Dem politician in a district that was even more Democratic that Berkley's and hasn't had a GOP Rep. since 1923. And it wasn't even close. I guess Ralston must have missed that news story while he was sleeping with Harry's picture beside him.
What Ralston doesn't take into account is the economy. He can spout registration numbers all he wants, but it means squat if people don't have jobs, paying $4 for gas, paying more for food and paying a huge amount more in utilities. And how many of those Democrats still live in the Berkely's district? We have had many people move out of Nevada in search of jobs and I would think many of those are Democrats.
So, Ralston can spin all he wants, but he is just another liberal unethical media shill from the diminishing liberal fish wrap newspaper, the Las Vegas Sun.

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